Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 262.125451 296.696230 335.393155 382.160908 437.473113 501.203053 580.761969
2024-10-27 201.057288 243.166806 294.504724 362.566806 451.753194 566.540792 728.638543
2024-11-03 180.316607 228.293771 290.398294 378.452120 503.072750 677.951930 951.101298
2024-11-10 167.217521 219.700009 291.058154 398.107793 560.044564 805.522566 1226.556710
2024-11-17 151.406843 204.665482 279.891665 397.901583 586.314043 890.885153 1457.175301
2024-11-24 135.812669 187.766377 263.415859 386.471874 591.904221 942.544065 1642.005558
2024-12-01 123.277405 173.811265 249.382703 376.339834 597.004836 993.007900 1837.402654
2024-12-08 117.472563 169.200294 248.852110 387.544177 639.835891 1119.534506 2226.552649
2024-12-15 110.503259 162.029933 243.349979 389.342367 665.612550 1218.488400 2589.810550
2024-12-22 102.672158 152.756638 233.413533 381.934796 672.484519 1279.992773 2885.510270
2024-12-29 97.229362 146.838994 228.414266 382.652236 695.162710 1380.110469 3321.492593
2025-01-05 90.881983 138.911491 219.228122 374.393027 698.011141 1435.871292 3656.885027
2025-01-12 86.108743 133.404173 214.009286 373.600250 717.738474 1539.535448 4198.693424
2025-01-19 79.138767 123.688354 200.562235 355.247709 696.301638 1536.602245 4395.181700
2025-01-26 77.632527 123.266877 203.798097 370.690647 754.049225 1755.637615 5508.362221
2025-02-02 76.656914 123.671552 208.545648 389.837262 824.434610 2033.152436 7073.769394
2025-02-09 73.338872 119.619724 204.490164 389.636352 847.074447 2178.020406 8191.134916
2025-02-16 69.028343 113.475342 195.908015 378.504486 839.718857 2227.372712 8891.802821
2025-02-23 65.208337 108.005561 188.245685 368.634574 834.206717 2282.150104 9679.961388
2025-03-02 63.904428 107.132930 189.613616 379.548943 887.427361 2556.736333 12045.382401
2025-03-09 61.741176 104.491510 187.191981 381.300390 915.312595 2751.792172 14181.253781
2025-03-16 58.861376 100.308213 181.299641 374.085011 915.788345 2843.427169 15716.780197
2025-03-23 56.920312 97.826150 178.758735 374.783878 940.334963 3041.879575 18432.415869